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Isola Capo Rizzuto vs Vesuvio Ercolanese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Isola Capo Rizzuto and Vesuvio Ercolanese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vesuvio Ercolanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Isola Capo Rizzuto
20%
Draws
80%
Vesuvio Ercolanese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vesuvio Ercolanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Isola Capo Rizzuto haven't matched Vesuvio Ercolanese's recent run of results.
  • Vesuvio Ercolanese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Isola Capo Rizzuto Clean Sheet 20%
Vesuvio Ercolanese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isola Capo Rizzuto Vesuvio Ercolanese
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 0.5 0.69
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Isola Capo Rizzuto vs Vesuvio Ercolanese
0:1
Sep 10, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Vesuvio Ercolanese vs Isola Capo Rizzuto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isola Capo Rizzuto 16 / 100
Vesuvio Ercolanese 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isola Capo Rizzuto Vesuvio Ercolanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vesuvio Ercolanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vesuvio Ercolanese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

Away concern: Vesuvio Ercolanese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Isola Capo Rizzuto scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vesuvio Ercolanese
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Isola Capo Rizzuto

(Home)
06 May
Isola Capo Rizzuto
1 : 8
ACR Messina
29 Apr
Vibonese
3 : 0
Isola Capo Rizzuto
22 Apr
Isola Capo Rizzuto
1 : 4
Roccella
15 Apr
Gelbison
3 : 1
Isola Capo Rizzuto
08 Apr
Isola Capo Rizzuto
0 : 1
Troina
Page 1 of 6

Vesuvio Ercolanese

(Away)
05 May
Vesuvio Ercolanese
0 : 0
ASD Citta Di Gragnano
28 Apr
A.C. Savoia
5 : 0
Vesuvio Ercolanese
18 Apr
Vesuvio Ercolanese
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
14 Apr
Taranto
7 : 0
Vesuvio Ercolanese
07 Apr
Vesuvio Ercolanese
1 : 2
Bitonto
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)