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Ispe vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Aung Than Toe
(Penalty)
38' Event
Maung Win Pyae
59' Event
Soe K.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Ispe and Hantharwady United finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ispe
20%
Draws
20%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Hantharwady United haven't matched Ispe's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ispe Clean Sheet 13%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Hantharwady United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ispe
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Hantharwady United
2:2
May 17, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ispe vs Hantharwady United
0:3
Feb 16, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Hantharwady United
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ispe
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Maung Win Pyae
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Than Toe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 30 / 100
Hantharwady United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ispe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Hantharwady United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Hantharwady United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Hantharwady United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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