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Ispe vs Mahar United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Aung Y.
17' Event
Thu Kaung Myat
48' Event
Aung Y.

AI Match Summary

Mahar United in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahar United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ispe
15%
Draws
42%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mahar United have won more games recently than Ispe.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mahar United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Mahar United
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
2:4
Jan 23, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Ispe
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Ispe
2:1
Jul 8, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Mahar United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaung Myat Nyein
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mar T. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thu Kaung Myat
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 30 / 100
Mahar United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahar United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mahar United has conceded goals in 89% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ispe scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Difficult form: Mahar United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Mahar United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 7

Mahar United

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)