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Ispe vs Rakhine United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Aung Soe Lin
45' Event
Aung T. T.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Zin Min T.

AI Match Summary

Ispe in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ispe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ispe
15%
Draws
12%
Rakhine United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rakhine United haven't matched Ispe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ispe a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Rakhine United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 National League
Rakhine United vs Ispe
1:2
Nov 3, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Rakhine United
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ispe vs Rakhine United
2:2
Jan 30, 2025 National League
Rakhine United vs Ispe
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Rakhine United
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Soe Lin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyein Hein Htet
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Rakhine United Compare

Top Goalscorer Zin Min T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 56 / 100
Rakhine United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Rakhine United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ispe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rakhine United conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Rakhine United's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Rakhine United
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Rakhine United

(Away)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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