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Ispe vs Yadanarbon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ispe host Yadanarbon in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ispe at 1.59 goals for, 2.1 against; Yadanarbon at 1.87 for, 1.65 against. Head-to-head, Ispe have won 1 to Yadanarbon's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.56, favoring Yadanarbon. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ispe
15%
Draws
46%
Yadanarbon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yadanarbon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yadanarbon lately — more wins on the board than Ispe.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ispe Clean Sheet 15%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ispe Yadanarbon
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Ispe vs Yadanarbon
2:2
Dec 23, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Ispe
3:1
Oct 21, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Yadanarbon
2:0
Sep 26, 2024 National League
Yadanarbon vs Ispe
1:1
May 15, 2024 MNL League Cup
Yadanarbon vs Ispe
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ispe 31 / 100
Yadanarbon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ispe Yadanarbon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Yadanarbon has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ispe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ispe VS Yadanarbon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ispe

(Home)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Yadanarbon

(Away)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
11 Ispe 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
12 Chinland 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)