Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Frattesi D.
Assist: Dimarco F.
46'
46'
Sub
Lavi N. In: Jaber M.
Out: Lavi N.
46'
46'
Sub
Khalaili A. In: Gloukh O.
Out: Khalaili A.
AI Match Summary
Italy in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Israel haven't matched Italy's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Italy's way, sitting at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Italy here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Israel Clean Sheet 14%
Italy Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Israel | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 World Championship
Italy vs Israel
3:0
Sep 8, 2025 World Championship
Israel vs Italy
4:5
Oct 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Israel
4:1
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Italy
1:2
Sep 5, 2017 World Championship
Italy vs Israel
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Israel Compare
Top Goalscorer Abu Fani M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Italy Compare
Top Goalscorer Frattesi D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kean M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Israel 19 / 100
Italy 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Israel Italy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Italy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Israel found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Italy has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Israel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Israel VS Italy
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Israel
(Home) 27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3 Ireland
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1 Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1 Israel
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2 Israel
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1 Moldova
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3 Ireland
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1 Moldova
08 Sept
Israel
4 : 5 Italy
10 Jun
Israel
1 : 0 Slovakia
25 Mar
Israel
2 : 4 Norway
Page 1 of 3
Italy
(Away) 28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4 Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2 Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1 Italy
03 Jun
Luxembourg
0 : 1 Italy
31 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 : 1 Italy
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4 Italy
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1 Italy
03 Jun
Luxembourg
0 : 1 Italy
31 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 : 1 Italy
13 Nov
Moldova
0 : 2 Italy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Scotland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Poland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Italy | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Belgium | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Israel | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Serbia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League B)
