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Israel vs Slovakia

World World

Friendly International 2025 Nagyerdei Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Israel play Slovakia in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Israel averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Slovakia averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Israel won 2, Slovakia won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Israel and 1.44 for Slovakia. This points to a Slovakia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Israel
18%
Draws
44%
Slovakia
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Slovakia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Israel picked up more points recently compared to Slovakia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Israel Clean Sheet 16%
Slovakia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel Slovakia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Israel vs Slovakia
1:0
Oct 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Slovakia vs Israel
2:3
Sep 7, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Slovakia
1:1
Mar 5, 2014 Friendly International
Israel vs Slovakia
1:3
Aug 17, 1999 Friendly International
Slovakia vs Israel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Shua Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Slovakia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel 37 / 100
Slovakia 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel Slovakia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slovakia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Israel attacking → ← attacking Slovakia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Israel scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Slovakia let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Israel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Slovakia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 50
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63