Sport Picks
Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, Istanbul 
Match Events
12'
12'
Niyaz R.
Assist: Bilazer H.
26'
26'
Mert M.
Assist: Sambissa D.
31'
31'
Kanga G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Istanbulspor AS and Erokspor finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erokspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Erokspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- Istanbulspor AS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 18%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Istanbulspor AS | Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2026 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor
1:4
Sep 24, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Istanbulspor AS
5:0
May 4, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Istanbulspor AS
0:3
Jan 5, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Erokspor
4:0
Dec 18, 2024 Turkish Cup
Erokspor vs Istanbulspor AS
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Istanbulspor AS Compare
Top Goalscorer Mert M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Erokspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Niyaz R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Catakovic H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Istanbulspor AS 85 / 100
Erokspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Istanbulspor AS Erokspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Istanbulspor AS scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Erokspor conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Istanbulspor AS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Istanbulspor AS VS Erokspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Istanbulspor AS
(Home) 12 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 0 Istanbulspor AS
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1 Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Vanspor FK
1 : 3 Istanbulspor AS
19 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
3 : 1 Sariyer
13 Apr
Sivasspor
1 : 3 Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1 Adanademirspor
19 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
3 : 1 Sariyer
09 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
22 Mar
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1 Bodrumspor
11 Mar
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 4 Amedspor
Page 1 of 3
Erokspor
(Away) 24 May
Erokspor
0 : 2 Corum FK
02 May
Erokspor
1 : 1 Pendikspor
26 Apr
Sariyer
1 : 0 Erokspor
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2 Erokspor
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sariyer
1 : 0 Erokspor
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2 Erokspor
05 Apr
Sivasspor
1 : 3 Erokspor
16 Mar
Corum FK
2 : 1 Erokspor
08 Mar
Bodrumspor
3 : 4 Erokspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
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