Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu

Igdir FK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Istanbulspor AS play Igdir FK in the 1. Lig. It looks like a close match. Recently, Istanbulspor AS averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Igdir FK averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Istanbulspor AS won 1, Igdir FK won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Istanbulspor AS and 1.38 for Igdir FK. This points to a Igdir FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Istanbulspor AS

20%

Draws

40%

Igdir FK

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Igdir FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Istanbulspor AS picked up more points recently compared to Igdir FK.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 17%

Igdir FK Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Istanbulspor AS	Igdir FK
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	12	11
Draws	8	10
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.74	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Igdir FK

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Oct 5, 2025 1. Lig

Igdir FK vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Apr 8, 2025 1. Lig

Igdir FK vs Istanbulspor AS

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Nov 30, 2024 1. Lig

Istanbulspor AS vs Igdir FK

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozer Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Igdir FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Koita F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 39 / 100

Igdir FK 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Istanbulspor AS Igdir FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Igdir FK or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Istanbulspor AS attacking → ← attacking Igdir FK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istanbulspor AS scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Igdir FK let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Istanbulspor AS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Igdir FK lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 43

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54