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Istanbulspor AS vs Sariyer Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Duymaz O.
9' Event
Mamadou M.
45' Event
Krstovski M.
Assist: Duymaz O.

AI Match Summary

Istanbulspor AS in this Turkish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Istanbulspor AS
20%
Draws
57%
Sariyer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sariyer have won more games recently than Istanbulspor AS.
  • Sariyer are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Sariyer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Istanbulspor AS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Istanbulspor AS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 11%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istanbulspor AS Sariyer
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Sariyer
3:1
Dec 13, 2025 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Istanbulspor AS
1:2
Dec 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Istanbulspor AS vs Sariyer
6:0
May 9, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Istanbulspor AS vs Sariyer
2:2
May 5, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Sariyer vs Istanbulspor AS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Duymaz O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mamadou M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sariyer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istanbulspor AS 10 / 100
Sariyer 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istanbulspor AS Sariyer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sariyer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Istanbulspor AS scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Sariyer let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Istanbulspor AS stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istanbulspor AS VS Sariyer
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Istanbulspor AS

(Home)
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1
F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 7

Sariyer

(Away)
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 0
Pendikspor
28 Aug
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
TBD -
Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elazigspor -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Buyukcekmece Gucu 3
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
TBD -
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
TBD -
Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
TBD -
Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
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Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
Batman Petrolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
TBD -
Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2