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Stadium Background

Istaravshan vs Sardor Tursunzoda

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Istaravshan and Sardor Tursunzoda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Istaravshan
33%
Draws
27%
Sardor Tursunzoda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Istaravshan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sardor Tursunzoda haven't matched Istaravshan's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Istaravshan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 19%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istaravshan Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 4 2
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Sardor Tursunzoda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istaravshan 40 / 100
Sardor Tursunzoda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istaravshan Sardor Tursunzoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sardor Tursunzoda conceded in 79% of 14 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sardor Tursunzoda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istaravshan VS Sardor Tursunzoda
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Istaravshan

(Home)
26 Jun
Istaravshan
1 : 1
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
17 Jun
Istaravshan
1 : 1
Sardor Tursunzoda
14 Jun
Istaravshan
1 : 2
Istiqlol Dushanbe
09 May
Ravshan Kulob
4 : 1
Istaravshan
03 May
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 1
Istaravshan
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Sardor Tursunzoda

(Away)
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
17 Jun
Istaravshan
1 : 1
Sardor Tursunzoda
14 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
22 May
Ravshan Kulob
3 : 1
Sardor Tursunzoda
09 May
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 2
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe1174014:325
2Khosilot Parkhar1273223:1124
3Regar-TadAZ1173115:724
4CSKA Pomir Dushanbe1161414:1219
5Ravshan Kulob1252516:1317
6Barkchi Hisor1251615:1916
7Khujand1244411:1016
8Eskhata1242614:2314
9Vakhsh1235415:1614
10Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov1233610:1712
11Sardor Tursunzoda1213813:216
12Istaravshan110569:175
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)