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Stadium Background

Istaravshan vs Eskhata

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan Logo

Istaravshan

0 - 1
FT
Eskhata Logo

Eskhata

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Istaravshan and Eskhata finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eskhata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Istaravshan
35%
Draws
32%
Eskhata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Istaravshan haven't matched Eskhata's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 10%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istaravshan Eskhata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Eskhata
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istaravshan
0:0
Mar 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Eskhata
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Eskhata
0:1
May 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Istaravshan
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istaravshan 30 / 100
Eskhata 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istaravshan Eskhata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eskhata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istaravshan's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Eskhata has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Eskhata lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istaravshan VS Eskhata
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Istaravshan

(Home)
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
26 Jun
Istaravshan
1 : 1
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
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Eskhata

(Away)
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 16 11 4 1 23:5 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 16 10 4 2 22:9 34
3 Khosilot Parkhar 16 9 4 3 32:17 31
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 15 7 3 5 18:17 24
5 Barkchi Hisor 15 6 3 6 22:23 21
6 Khujand 15 5 6 4 14:11 21
7 Vakhsh 16 4 8 4 24:23 20
8 Ravshan Kulob 16 5 4 7 20:19 19
9 Eskhata 16 4 4 8 19:31 16
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 15 2 5 8 23:29 11
12 Istaravshan 16 0 6 10 14:32 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)