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Istiklol Fergana vs Sherdor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Wed, Jun 12, 2019
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiklol Fergana host Sherdor in the Pro Liga 2019. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Sherdor have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Istiklol Fergana have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Istiklol Fergana slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2019, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.06, favoring Istiklol Fergana. Istiklol Fergana in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Istiklol Fergana
6%
Draws
4%
Sherdor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istiklol Fergana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sherdor haven't matched Istiklol Fergana's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Istiklol Fergana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Istiklol Fergana have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 20%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istiklol Fergana Sherdor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 12 2
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Sherdor
5:0
Aug 29, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:5
Jun 12, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Sherdor
3:0
Apr 17, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istiklol Fergana 85 / 100
Sherdor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istiklol Fergana Sherdor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sherdor let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Istiklol Fergana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sherdor registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Istiklol Fergana VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185