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Istiklol Fergana vs Sherdor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiklol Fergana play Sherdor in the Pro Liga 2019. Istiklol Fergana are favorites here. Recently, Istiklol Fergana averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Sherdor averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Istiklol Fergana won 3, Sherdor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2019 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Istiklol Fergana and 1.06 for Sherdor. This points to a Istiklol Fergana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Istiklol Fergana
15%
Draws
17%
Sherdor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Istiklol Fergana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Istiklol Fergana picked up more points recently compared to Sherdor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 22%
Sherdor Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istiklol Fergana Sherdor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 12 2
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.09 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Sherdor
5:0
Aug 29, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:5
Jun 12, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Sherdor
3:0
Apr 17, 2019 Pro Liga
Sherdor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istiklol Fergana 66 / 100
Sherdor 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istiklol Fergana Sherdor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istiklol Fergana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Istiklol Fergana & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Istiklol Fergana attacking → ← attacking Sherdor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istiklol Fergana scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Sherdor let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Istiklol Fergana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sherdor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 14
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185