Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Istiklol Fergana vs Zaamin

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiklol Fergana in this Pro Liga 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiklol Fergana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Istiklol Fergana
35%
Draws
35%
Zaamin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Istiklol Fergana lately — more wins on the board than Zaamin.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Istiklol Fergana taking it.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 20%
Zaamin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istiklol Fergana Zaamin
Matches Played 40 45
Wins 15 14
Draws 13 6
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.1 1.49
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2020 Pro Liga
Zaamin vs Istiklol Fergana
3:0
Nov 6, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Zaamin
1:3
Oct 5, 2020 Pro Liga
Zaamin vs Istiklol Fergana
0:1
Jul 15, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Zaamin
3:0
Oct 29, 2017 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Zaamin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istiklol Fergana 49 / 100
Zaamin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istiklol Fergana Zaamin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istiklol Fergana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zaamin conceded in 84% of 45 recent games.

Istiklol Fergana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Istiklol Fergana found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (40 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zaamin
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Istiklol Fergana

(Home)
28 May
Istiklol Fergana
0 : 0
Aral
20 May
Shortan Guzor
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
14 May
FK Yangiyer
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
06 May
Istiklol Fergana
0 : 0
Olympic
15 Apr
Buxoro
0 : 0
Istiklol Fergana
Page 1 of 8

Zaamin

(Away)
20 Nov
Zaamin
1 : 3
Shortan Guzor
15 Nov
Gijduvon
3 : 0
Zaamin
10 Nov
Zaamin
3 : 0
FK Yangiyer
06 Nov
Aral
1 : 5
Zaamin
27 Oct
Shortan Guzor
5 : 0
Zaamin
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sementchi Kuvasoy 34 27 4 3 97:22 85
2 Istiklol Fergana 34 23 4 7 67:31 73
3 Andijan 34 21 9 4 73:32 72
4 Termez Surkhon 34 18 6 10 57:32 60
5 Norin Haqqulobod 33 17 6 10 58:51 57
6 Osiyo Tashkent 33 17 5 11 59:46 56
7 Mashal Muborak II 34 16 6 12 65:48 54
8 Zaamin 34 15 5 14 48:50 50
9 Xorazm Urganch 34 13 8 13 52:52 47
10 Lokomotiv BFK 34 11 8 15 51:68 41
11 FK Yangiyer 34 10 10 14 51:57 40
12 Aral 34 10 7 17 55:72 37
13 FK Yozyovon 33 11 3 19 46:67 36
14 Nasaf Qarshi II 34 10 4 20 46:60 34
15 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 34 9 6 19 40:60 33
16 Din. Gallakor 34 8 5 21 40:75 29
17 Khotira 79 34 8 4 22 51:105 28
18 Nurafshon 31 7 4 20 36:64 25
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