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AI Match Summary
Istiqlol Dushanbe in this AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Istiqlol Dushanbe have won more games recently than Al Zawraa.
- Model gives Istiqlol Dushanbe a 60% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Istiqlol Dushanbe | Al Zawraa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 20 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Istiqlol Dushanbe Compare
Al Zawraa Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Istiqlol Dushanbe's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Al Zawraa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Istiqlol Dushanbe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Wasl | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Muharraq | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Wehdat | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Arkadag | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Al Khalidiyah | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Andijan | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1:3 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hussein | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sepahan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Ahal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Mohun Bagan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 3 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Goa | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:14 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macarthur FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cong An Ha Noi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Tai Po | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Nam Dinh | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Eastern AA | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:30 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Lion City Sailors | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Selangor | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampines | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Pohang | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Pathum United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Kaya FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:15 | 0 |