Sport Picks
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
Tajikistan
Vysshaya Liga 2025 
Match Events
13'
13'
Ojetunde O.
22'
22'
Soirov R.
28'
28'
Haghnazari S.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Ravshan Kulob finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istiqlol Dushanbe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Istiqlol Dushanbe come out ahead of Ravshan Kulob on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Istiqlol Dushanbe's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 68%
Ravshan Kulob Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Istiqlol Dushanbe | Ravshan Kulob |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
0:0
Oct 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
6:2
May 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
1:0
Dec 11, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Istiqlol Dushanbe Compare
Top Goalscorer Soirov R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Haghnazari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ravshan Kulob Compare
Top Goalscorer Ojetunde O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boboev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Istiqlol Dushanbe 77 / 100
Ravshan Kulob 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Istiqlol Dushanbe Ravshan Kulob
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Istiqlol Dushanbe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Istiqlol Dushanbe scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Ravshan Kulob has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Istiqlol Dushanbe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Istiqlol Dushanbe VS Ravshan Kulob
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Istiqlol Dushanbe
(Home) 15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0 Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0 Khosilot Parkhar
27 May
Istiqlol Dushanbe
3 : 1 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
23 May
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 2 Regar-TadAZ
09 May
Istiqlol Dushanbe
2 : 0 Barkchi Hisor
24 Apr
Istiqlol Dushanbe
2 : 1 Khujand
Page 1 of 3
Ravshan Kulob
(Away) 14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3 Ravshan Kulob
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3 Ravshan Kulob
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
13 Jun
Vakhsh
0 : 2 Ravshan Kulob
15 May
Khujand
4 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 58:18 | 50 |
| 2 | Vakhsh | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 33:18 | 45 |
| 3 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 38:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ravshan Kulob | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 5 | Khujand | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:25 | 31 |
| 6 | Regar-TadAZ | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 25:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Eskhata | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 31:30 | 30 |
| 8 | Barkchi Hisor | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 27 |
| 9 | Khosilot Parkhar | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | 24 |
| 10 | Istaravshan | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 11 | Hulbuk | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 15:39 | 13 |
| 12 | Panjsher | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 16:41 | 12 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)
