Sport Picks
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tajikistan
Vysshaya Liga 
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Ravshan Kulob finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istiqlol Dushanbe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ravshan Kulob haven't matched Istiqlol Dushanbe's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Istiqlol Dushanbe taking it.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 68%
Ravshan Kulob Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Istiqlol Dushanbe | Ravshan Kulob |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
0:0
Oct 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
6:2
May 17, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Ravshan Kulob vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
1:0
Dec 11, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Ravshan Kulob
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Istiqlol Dushanbe 59 / 100
Ravshan Kulob 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Istiqlol Dushanbe Ravshan Kulob
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Istiqlol Dushanbe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Istiqlol Dushanbe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Ravshan Kulob's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Istiqlol Dushanbe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Istiqlol Dushanbe VS Ravshan Kulob
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Istiqlol Dushanbe
(Home) 15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0 Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0 Khosilot Parkhar
27 May
Istiqlol Dushanbe
3 : 1 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
23 May
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 2 Regar-TadAZ
09 May
Istiqlol Dushanbe
2 : 0 Barkchi Hisor
24 Apr
Istiqlol Dushanbe
2 : 1 Khujand
Page 1 of 3
Ravshan Kulob
(Away) 14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3 Ravshan Kulob
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3 Ravshan Kulob
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
13 Jun
Vakhsh
0 : 2 Ravshan Kulob
15 May
Khujand
4 : 1 Ravshan Kulob
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Regar-TadAZ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:9 | 37 |
| 3 | Khosilot Parkhar | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Barkchi Hisor | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 24 |
| 5 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Khujand | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 15:11 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan Kulob | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 8 | Vakhsh | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:32 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23:31 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 17 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15:35 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
