Sport Picks

Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2016

Istiqlol Dushanbe

4 - 1

Xayr Vahdat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Istiqlol Dushanbe in this Vysshaya Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Istiqlol Dushanbe

40%

Draws

29%

Xayr Vahdat

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Istiqlol Dushanbe lately — more wins on the board than Xayr Vahdat.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 20%

Xayr Vahdat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Istiqlol Dushanbe	Xayr Vahdat
Matches Played	31	22
Wins	20	9
Draws	7	7
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	3.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2016 Vysshaya Liga

Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Xayr Vahdat

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

4:1

May 22, 2016 Vysshaya Liga

Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Jan 17, 2016 Vysshaya Liga

Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Aug 9, 2015 Vysshaya Liga

Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Xayr Vahdat

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

8:0

Jun 24, 2015 Vysshaya Liga

Xayr Vahdat vs Istiqlol Dushanbe

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istiqlol Dushanbe 32 / 100

Xayr Vahdat 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Istiqlol Dushanbe Xayr Vahdat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istiqlol Dushanbe found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Istiqlol Dushanbe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Xayr Vahdat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Istiqlol Dushanbe VS -

3.38 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Istiqlol Dushanbe	18	14	3	1	67:20	45
2	Khosilot Parkhar	18	11	4	3	40:16	37
3	Regar-TadAZ	18	10	2	6	36:23	32
4	Barkchi Hisor	18	9	2	7	32:25	29
5	Xayr Vahdat	18	8	5	5	29:25	29
6	CSKA Pomir Dushanbe	18	8	3	7	23:16	27
7	Khujand	18	8	1	9	22:37	25
8	Vakhsh	18	5	3	10	21:39	18
9	Ravshan Kulob	18	2	3	13	17:50	9
10	Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov	18	1	2	15	14:50	5