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Stadium Background

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Kutlesa F.
13'
Mauric A.
16' Event
Skafar Zuzic N.
Assist: Saranic I.

AI Match Summary

Istra 1961 in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istra 1961.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Istra 1961
30%
Draws
33%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Istra 1961 lately — more wins on the board than Slaven Belupo.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 17%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istra 1961 Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
3:0
May 4, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
3:1
Feb 27, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaganjac H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skafar Zuzic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Slaven Belupo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istra 1961 30 / 100
Slaven Belupo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istra 1961 Slaven Belupo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slaven Belupo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Istra 1961's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Istra 1961 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istra 1961 VS Slaven Belupo
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Istra 1961

(Home)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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Slaven Belupo

(Away)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)