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Stadium Background

Istres vs Bergerac

France France

National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Da Veiga M.
42' Event
Vallon A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 game between Istres and Bergerac finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergerac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Istres
30%
Draws
54%
Bergerac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bergerac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istres come out ahead of Bergerac on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Istres Clean Sheet 20%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istres Bergerac
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Istres vs Bergerac
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Bergerac vs Istres
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Bergerac Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Veiga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vallon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istres 31 / 100
Bergerac 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istres Bergerac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istres's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Bergerac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Istres has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Istres VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Istres

(Home)
12 Sept
Istres
0 : 0
Touraine
05 Sept
Hyeres
3 : 0
Istres
29 Aug
Istres
1 : 2
Hauts Lyonnais
22 Aug
Troyes II
0 : 0
Istres
16 May
Istres
1 : 2
GOAL FC
Page 1 of 8

Bergerac

(Away)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 17 8 5 48:17 59
2 Cannes 30 15 10 5 57:30 55
3 Toulon 30 13 9 8 44:35 48
4 RC Grasse 30 11 12 7 40:29 45
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 34:25 45
6 Angouleme CFC 30 10 13 7 28:28 43
7 Saint Priest 30 11 9 10 32:33 42
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 12 9 33:36 38
9 Istres 30 11 5 14 40:48 38
10 Rumilly Vallieres 30 8 13 9 35:35 37
11 Andrezieux 30 9 10 11 36:29 37
12 Marignane GCB 30 9 8 13 29:43 35
13 Bergerac 30 9 7 14 34:49 34
14 GOAL FC 30 10 6 14 33:53 32
15 Jura Sud 30 5 14 11 28:36 29
16 Genets 30 4 8 18 25:50 20
Promotion - National 2025/2026 (Main)