Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Istres vs Saint Priest

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kone H.
45' Event
Benhmida M.
53' Event
Amir Z.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Istres and Saint Priest finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Priest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Istres
30%
Draws
47%
Saint Priest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saint Priest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istres come out ahead of Saint Priest on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Istres's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Saint Priest here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Istres Clean Sheet 68%
Saint Priest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istres Saint Priest
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.19 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.06 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Istres vs Saint Priest
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Saint Priest vs Istres
1:2
Jan 24, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Istres vs Saint Priest
0:2
Aug 30, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Saint Priest vs Istres
1:0
Feb 12, 1999 Ligue 3
Saint Priest vs Istres
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Istres Compare

Top Goalscorer Amir Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Saint Priest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benhmida M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istres 50 / 100
Saint Priest 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istres Saint Priest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saint Priest conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Istres found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Saint Priest has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Istres VS Saint Priest
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Istres

(Home)
12 Sept
Istres
0 : 0
Touraine
05 Sept
Hyeres
3 : 0
Istres
29 Aug
Istres
1 : 2
Hauts Lyonnais
22 Aug
Troyes II
0 : 0
Istres
16 May
Istres
1 : 2
GOAL FC
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Saint Priest

(Away)
12 Sept
Saint Priest
1 : 1
Hauts Lyonnais
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1
Saint Priest
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2
Saint Priest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)