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Itabaiana U20 vs Lagarto U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 Logo

Itabaiana U20

3 - 3
FT
Lagarto U20 Logo

Lagarto U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Itabaiana U20
35%
Draws
25%
Lagarto U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itabaiana U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Itabaiana U20 haven't matched Lagarto U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Itabaiana U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Itabaiana U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Lagarto U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana U20 Lagarto U20
Matches Played 19 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.26 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 vs Lagarto U20
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana U20 36 / 100
Lagarto U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana U20 Lagarto U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana U20 scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Lagarto U20 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Itabaiana U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana U20 VS Lagarto U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Itabaiana U20
5 : 3
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 4

Lagarto U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 0
Lagarto U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)