Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano game between Itabaiana and Dorense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabaiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Itabaiana carry the better recent record into this one.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Itabaiana taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itabaiana | Dorense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 15 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itabaiana Compare
Dorense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Itabaiana scored in 64% of their last 42 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Dorense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Itabaiana
(Home)Dorense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
