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Itaberai U20 vs Trindade U20

Brazil Brazil

Goiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Itaberai U20 play Trindade U20 in the Goiano U20 2024. Trindade U20 are favorites here. Recently, Itaberai U20 averaged 0.82 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. Trindade U20 averaged 1.68 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, Itaberai U20 won 0, Trindade U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2024 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Itaberai U20 and 1.24 for Trindade U20. This points to a Trindade U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Itaberai U20
18%
Draws
71%
Trindade U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Trindade U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Itaberai U20 picked up more points recently compared to Trindade U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Itaberai U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Trindade U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaberai U20 Trindade U20
Matches Played 11 38
Wins 1 22
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.82 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 Goiano U20
Itaberai U20 vs Trindade U20
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itaberai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes de Moura L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernardo Moreira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Trindade U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Dourado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silveira K. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaberai U20 14 / 100
Trindade U20 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaberai U20 Trindade U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trindade U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Trindade U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Itaberai U20 attacking → ← attacking Trindade U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaberai U20 scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Trindade U20 let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Itaberai U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Trindade U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 73
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vila Nova FC U201173127:1124
2Goias U201164126:1022
3Atletico GO U201164123:922
4Trindade U201153316:1418
5Aparecidense U201144315:1416
6Guanabara City U201136219:1615
7Aparecida EC U201136212:1215
8Jataiense U201141611:2213
9Cerrado EC U201124510:1510
10Royal U20112367:169
11Guapo M19 U201114613:197
12Itaberai U20111289:305