Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Mateus
37'
37'
de Assis Teixeira L. G.
45'
45'
Moreira de Oliveira J. V.
AI Match Summary
The Mineiro U20 2025 game between Itabirito U20 and Villa Real U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villa Real U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Itabirito U20 come out ahead of Villa Real U20 on wins alone.
- Itabirito U20 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Villa Real U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itabirito U20 | Villa Real U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 24 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Mineiro U20
Villa Real U20 vs Itabirito U20
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs Villa Real U20
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itabirito U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mateus
1 Goals Assists Leader de Assis Teixeira L. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66
Villa Real U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreira de Oliveira J. V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Itabirito U20 42 / 100
Villa Real U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Itabirito U20 Villa Real U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Itabirito U20 scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Villa Real U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 24 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Itabirito U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Itabirito U20 VS Villa Real U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Itabirito U20
(Home) 12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0 Itabirito U20
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1 Coimbra Sports U20
21 Aug
Boston City U20
3 : 2 Itabirito U20
14 Aug
Itabirito U20
2 : 0 Atletico-MG U20
07 Aug
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 3 Itabirito U20
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1 Coimbra Sports U20
14 Aug
Itabirito U20
2 : 0 Atletico-MG U20
31 Jul
Itabirito U20
1 : 2 Athletic Club U20
17 Jul
Itabirito U20
2 : 0 Social U20
12 Jun
Itabirito U20
2 : 2 Nacional de Muriae U20
Page 1 of 3
Villa Real U20
(Away) 08 Aug
Minas Boca U20
1 : 2 Villa Real U20
01 Aug
Villa Real U20
1 : 0 Sao Joao del Rei U20
18 Jul
Villa Real U20
2 : 1 Uberabinha U20
10 Jul
Inter de Minas U20
3 : 1 Villa Real U20
27 Jun
Social U20
3 : 0 Villa Real U20
Page 1 of 5
08 Aug
Minas Boca U20
1 : 2 Villa Real U20
10 Jul
Inter de Minas U20
3 : 1 Villa Real U20
27 Jun
Social U20
3 : 0 Villa Real U20
30 May
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
0 : 0 Villa Real U20
10 May
Betim FC U20
0 : 0 Villa Real U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Coimbra Sports U20 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Boston City U20 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas U20 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Mamore U20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:33 | 7 |
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2025 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG U20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:15 | 20 |
| 2 | Uberaba U20 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 3 | Athletic Club U20 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Betim FC U20 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Itabirito U20 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | 12 |
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2025 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America MG U20 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 2 | Futgol U20 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Villa Real U20 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Contagem U20 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5:17 | 3 |
| 5 | Piracicaba U20 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8:29 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2025 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
