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Itabirito vs Aymores

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2025 Estadio Raimundo Sampaio (Independencia), Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Victor Sallinas In: Alison
Out: Victor Sallinas
30'
Sub
David Lucas In: Victor Ferreira
Out: David Lucas
32'
Da Silva

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2025 game between Itabirito and Aymores finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Itabirito
30%
Draws
35%
Aymores
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aymores come out ahead of Itabirito on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Aymores taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Itabirito here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 10%
Aymores Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito Aymores
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Mineiro
Itabirito vs Aymores
0:0
Jul 29, 2023 Mineiro 2
Aymores vs Itabirito
3:4
Jul 12, 2023 Mineiro 2
Itabirito vs Aymores
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 Mineiro 2
Aymores vs Itabirito
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito 26 / 100
Aymores 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito Aymores

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aymores Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Aymores's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Itabirito went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito VS Aymores
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito

(Home)
14 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 7
Atletico-MG
06 Feb
Betim FC
0 : 2
Itabirito
01 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 3
Tombense
24 Jan
URT
2 : 1
Itabirito
21 Jan
Uberlandia
0 : 1
Itabirito
Page 1 of 6

Aymores

(Away)
08 Aug
Aymores
3 : 3
Villa Nova AC
02 Aug
Villa Nova AC
1 : 0
Aymores
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Aymores
2 : 2
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tombense 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Atletico-MG 8 4 4 0 9:2 16
3 Betim FC 8 4 3 1 12:5 15
4 Uberlandia 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG 8 3 4 1 14:5 13
2 Athletic Club 8 4 0 4 12:12 12
3 Democrata GV 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
4 Itabirito 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
2 Pouso Alegre 8 2 2 4 7:15 8
3 Aymores 8 1 4 3 3:5 7
4 Villa Nova AC 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
Promotion - Mineiro 2025 (Play Offs)