Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabirito W vs Bahia W

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare), Sete Lagoas
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Itabirito W
20%
Draws
42%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itabirito W lately — more wins on the board than Bahia W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Itabirito W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 14%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Bahia W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Itabirito W vs Bahia W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 31 / 100
Bahia W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Bahia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Itabirito W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Bahia W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 6

Bahia W

(Away)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W -
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Vila Nova FC W -
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W -
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Alagoinhas W -
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Doce Mel W -
Perolas Negras W -
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Pantanal W 1
Sao Joao PI W 2
Ipojuca W -
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Remo W -
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W -
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3B da Amazonia W -
Mixto W -
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Acao W -
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Guarani de Paripueira W -
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Sao Jose W -
Prosperidade W -
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Brasil de Farroupilha W -
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W -
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Paraiso EC W -
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Ypiranga AP W -
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Cresspom W -
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Juventude W -
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Vitoria W -
Galvez W -
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Uniao RN W -
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Atletico-PI W -
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 3
Portuguesa AP W 2
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Várzea Grande EC W -
Sao Raimundo RR W -
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Heips W -
Coritiba W -
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Mixto PB W -
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W -
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Araguari W -
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Itapuense W -
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America Mineiro W -
Rolim de Moura W -
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Mauaense W -
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Itacoatiara W -
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Sao Paulo W -
Realidade Jovem W -
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Itabirito W -
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Ceara W -
Sport Recife W -
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Criciuma W -
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R4 EC W -
Tiradentes PA W -
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Planalto EC W -
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Paysandu PA W -
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Bahia W -
1/64-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W -
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Vila Nova FC W -
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W -
Alagoinhas W -
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Doce Mel W -
Perolas Negras W 1
Sao Joao PI W 2
Ipojuca W 2
Remo W 1
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W -
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3B da Amazonia W -
Mixto W -
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Acao W -
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Guarani de Paripueira W 3
Sao Jose W 4
Prosperidade W 1
Brasil de Farroupilha W 0
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W -
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Paraiso EC W 1
Ypiranga AP W 2
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Cresspom W 0
Juventude W 1
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Vitoria W -
Galvez W 1
Uniao RN W 5
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Atletico-PI W -
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 2
Várzea Grande EC W 1
Sao Raimundo RR W 0
Heips W 1
Coritiba W 1
Mixto PB W 0
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W -
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Araguari W 5
Itapuense W 2
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America Mineiro W -
Rolim de Moura W 1
Mauaense W 2
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Itacoatiara W -
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Sao Paulo W -
Realidade Jovem W 1
Itabirito W 2
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Ceara W -
Sport Recife W -
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Criciuma W 1
R4 EC W 0
Tiradentes PA W 2
Planalto EC W 4
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Paysandu PA W -
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Bahia W -
1/32-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W 1
Vila Nova FC W 0
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W 1
Doce Mel W 2
Sao Joao PI W 7
Ipojuca W 0
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W 0
3B da Amazonia W 1
Mixto W 0
Acao W 1
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Sao Jose W 2
Prosperidade W 1
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W 4
Ypiranga AP W 1
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Juventude W 2
Vitoria W 3
Uniao RN W 0
Atletico-PI W 1
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 2
Heips W 3
Coritiba W 3
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 1
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W 5
Araguari W 1
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America Mineiro W -
Mauaense W 3
Itacoatiara W 0
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Sao Paulo W -
Itabirito W 2
Ceara W 0
Sport Recife W 3
Criciuma W 0
Planalto EC W 2
Paysandu PA W 1
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Bahia W -
1/16-finals
Fluminense W 2
Minas Brasilia W 0
Cruzeiro W 5
Doce Mel W 0
Sao Joao PI W 0
CR Flamengo W 2
3B da Amazonia W 2
Acao W 0
Botafogo RJ W 3
EC Juventude W 0
Sao Jose W 1
Bragantino W 4
Ferroviaria W 8
UD Alagoana W 0
Palmeiras W 0
Corinthians W 1
Atletico-MG W 3
Vitoria W 1
Atletico-PI W 2
Santos W 1
Heips W 0
Coritiba W 2
Internacional W 1
Gremio W 0
Vasco W 1
America Mineiro W 0
Mauaense W 0
Sao Paulo W 3
Itabirito W 2
Sport Recife W 1
Planalto EC W 0
Bahia W 1
1/8-finals
Fluminense W 2
Cruzeiro W 1
CR Flamengo W 1
3B da Amazonia W 0
Botafogo RJ W 0
Bragantino W 2
Ferroviaria W 1
Corinthians W 0
Atletico-MG W 2
Atletico-PI W 1
Coritiba W 0
Internacional W 1
Vasco W 0
Sao Paulo W 1
Itabirito W 0
Bahia W 1
Quarter-finals
Fluminense W -
CR Flamengo W -
Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
Atletico-MG W -
Internacional W -
Sao Paulo W -
Bahia W -
Semi-finals
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Final
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