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Itabirito W vs Ceara W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Flavia Gil
89' Event
Vania
90'
Vania

AI Match Summary

Itabirito W in this Brasileiro A2 Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabirito W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Itabirito W
20%
Draws
22%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceara W haven't matched Itabirito W's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Itabirito W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Ceara W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.04 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Itabirito W vs Ceara W
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Ceara W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vania
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Ceara W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 95 / 100
Ceara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Ceara W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Itabirito W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Ceara W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
Page 1 of 6

Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)