Sport Picks

Brazil

Carioca C

Barra Mansa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itaborai Profute host Barra Mansa in the Carioca C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Itaborai Profute at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Barra Mansa at 0.93 for, 1.46 against. Head-to-head, Itaborai Profute have won 0 to Barra Mansa's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.60 vs 0.78, favoring Barra Mansa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Itaborai Profute

35%

Draws

49%

Barra Mansa

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barra Mansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Barra Mansa carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on Itaborai Profute taking it.
Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 20%

Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Itaborai Profute	Barra Mansa
Matches Played	8	28
Wins	1	7
Draws	3	8
Losses	4	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	0.60	0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Carioca C

Itaborai Profute vs Barra Mansa

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaborai Profute 42 / 100

Barra Mansa 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Itaborai Profute Barra Mansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaborai Profute scored in 100% of their last 6 games.

Barra Mansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Itaborai Profute went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itaborai Profute VS Barra Mansa

0.33 Goals Scored 0.88

0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88

33% Over 1.5 63%

17% Over 2.5 38%

17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History