Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itaborai Profute vs Ceres

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
da Silveira da Silva D. P.
45' Event
Quiezza T. R.
63' Event
Silva Assuncao Junior Guajajara C. A.

AI Match Summary

Ceres in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Itaborai Profute
20%
Draws
0%
Ceres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itaborai Profute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceres have won more games recently than Itaborai Profute.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Itaborai Profute taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 20%
Ceres Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaborai Profute Ceres
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 1 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Carioca C
Itaborai Profute vs Ceres
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itaborai Profute Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silveira da Silva D. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayque
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ceres Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiezza T. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Assuncao Junior Guajajara C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaborai Profute 40 / 100
Ceres 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaborai Profute Ceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itaborai Profute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaborai Profute's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Ceres has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Ceres has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itaborai Profute VS Ceres
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itaborai Profute

(Home)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
31 May
Itaborai Profute
1 : 1
Independente RJ
25 May
Uni Souza
1 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 2

Ceres

(Away)
12 Jul
Ceres
:
Independente RJ
06 Jul
Independente RJ
:
Ceres
08 Jun
Ceres
2 : 4
Tigres Brasil
31 May
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 0
Ceres
25 May
Ceres
1 : 2
Campos AA
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)