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Itaborai Profute vs Independente RJ Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Farias J.
90' Event
Wilker

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Itaborai Profute
30%
Draws
58%
Independente RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Itaborai Profute haven't matched Independente RJ's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Itaborai Profute a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 20%
Independente RJ Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaborai Profute Independente RJ
Matches Played 8 9
Wins 1 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.13 0.44
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Carioca C
Itaborai Profute vs Independente RJ
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itaborai Profute Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Independente RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilker
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaborai Profute 36 / 100
Independente RJ 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaborai Profute Independente RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaborai Profute's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Independente RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Itaborai Profute remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itaborai Profute VS Independente RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itaborai Profute

(Home)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
31 May
Itaborai Profute
1 : 1
Independente RJ
25 May
Uni Souza
1 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 2

Independente RJ

(Away)
12 Jul
Ceres
:
Independente RJ
06 Jul
Independente RJ
:
Ceres
28 Jun
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 0
Independente RJ
07 Jun
Independente RJ
1 : 0
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
31 May
Itaborai Profute
1 : 1
Independente RJ
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)