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Itabuna U20 vs Bahia U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia U20 in this Baiano U20 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Itabuna U20
15%
Draws
64%
Bahia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Itabuna U20 haven't matched Bahia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bahia U20 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Bahia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bahia U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Itabuna U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabuna U20 Bahia U20
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.41 3.39
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2024 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Itabuna U20
4:1
May 25, 2024 Baiano U20
Itabuna U20 vs Bahia U20
1:2
May 7, 2023 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Itabuna U20
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabuna U20 10 / 100
Bahia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabuna U20 Bahia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabuna U20 found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (22 games).

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bahia U20 conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Itabuna U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahia U20
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabuna U20

(Home)
31 May
Bahia U20
4 : 1
Itabuna U20
25 May
Itabuna U20
1 : 2
Bahia U20
18 May
Jequie U20
0 : 1
Itabuna U20
11 May
Itabuna U20
0 : 2
Conquista FC U20
04 May
Barcelona FC U20
1 : 1
Itabuna U20
Page 1 of 5

Bahia U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
25 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
0 : 8
Bahia U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0
Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6
Bahia U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bahia U20 6
Itabuna U20 2
Jacuipense U20 1
Vitoria da Conquista U20 2
Estrela De Marco U20 3
Juazeirense U20 2
Conquista FC U20 1
Vitoria U20 3
Semi-finals
Bahia U20 6
Vitoria da Conquista U20 1
Estrela De Marco U20 2
Vitoria U20 3
Final
Bahia U20 4
Vitoria U20 1