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Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
55' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
62' Event
Eldem

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2025 game between Itacoatiara and Fast Clube finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itacoatiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Itacoatiara
30%
Draws
61%
Fast Clube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fast Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fast Clube come out ahead of Itacoatiara on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fast Clube a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 11%
Fast Clube Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Fast Clube
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.84 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Amazonense 2
Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube
3:0
Feb 5, 2022 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Itacoatiara
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube
0:0
Mar 13, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Guerreiro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eldem
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Fast Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 10 / 100
Fast Clube 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Fast Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fast Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fast Clube has conceded goals in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Attacking prowess: Itacoatiara scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Itacoatiara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS Fast Clube
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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Fast Clube

(Away)
09 Sept
RB do Norte
0 : 1
Fast Clube
04 Sept
Fast Clube
2 : 1
Operario Esporte Clube
30 Aug
Fast Clube
2 : 0
Operario Esporte Clube
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
23 Aug
Manicore
1 : 1
Fast Clube
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Taruma 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Unidos do Alvorada 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
4 Manicore 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 RB do Norte 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario Esporte Clube 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
3 Sul America 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Fast Clube 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Cliper 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)