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Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
55' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
62' Event
Eldem

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2025 game between Itacoatiara and Fast Clube finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itacoatiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Itacoatiara
35%
Draws
46%
Fast Clube
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fast Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fast Clube come out ahead of Itacoatiara on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 20%
Fast Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Fast Clube
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.94 2.05
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Amazonense 2
Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube
3:0
Feb 5, 2022 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Itacoatiara
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube
0:0
Mar 13, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Fast Clube
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Guerreiro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eldem
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Fast Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 36 / 100
Fast Clube 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Fast Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fast Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fast Clube has conceded goals in 64% of their last 22 outings.

Attacking prowess: Itacoatiara scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Itacoatiara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS Fast Clube
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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Fast Clube

(Away)
13 Aug
Fast Clube
4 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
01 Aug
RB do Norte
1 : 1
Fast Clube
14 Jun
Itacoatiara
3 : 0
Fast Clube
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
01 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 2
Fast Clube
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Taruma 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Unidos do Alvorada 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
4 Manicore 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 RB do Norte 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario Esporte Clube 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
3 Sul America 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Fast Clube 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Cliper 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)