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Itacoatiara vs Manaus FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Luiz Felipe

AI Match Summary

Itacoatiara in this Amazonense matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itacoatiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Itacoatiara
35%
Draws
46%
Manaus FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Manaus FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Manaus FC have won more games recently than Itacoatiara.
  • Win probability leans Itacoatiara's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Amazonense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manaus FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 17%
Manaus FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara Manaus FC
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Manaus FC
1:0
Feb 20, 2022 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Itacoatiara
6:0
Apr 26, 2021 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Itacoatiara
5:1
Apr 21, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Manaus FC
0:2
Mar 6, 2021 Amazonense
Manaus FC vs Itacoatiara
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Manaus FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 41 / 100
Manaus FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara Manaus FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Manaus FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Attacking prowess: Itacoatiara scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Itacoatiara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS Manaus FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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Manaus FC

(Away)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
31 May
Manaus FC
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
24 May
Manauara
1 : 1
Manaus FC
17 May
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Manaus FC
09 May
Manaus FC
0 : 2
Monte Roraima
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
3 Manauara 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Parintins 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Princesa do Solimoes 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Manaus FC 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
4 Sao Raimundo AM 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Amazonense (First stage - Play Offs)