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Itacoatiara vs RB do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2023
Itacoatiara Logo

Itacoatiara

0 - 1
FT
RB do Norte Logo

RB do Norte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RB do Norte in this Amazonense 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Itacoatiara
30%
Draws
58%
RB do Norte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RB do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Itacoatiara haven't matched RB do Norte's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on RB do Norte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 17%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara RB do Norte
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Amazonense 2
Itacoatiara vs RB do Norte
3:4
Jul 22, 2023 Amazonense 2
Itacoatiara vs RB do Norte
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara 15 / 100
RB do Norte 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara RB do Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB do Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB do Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Itacoatiara's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Itacoatiara remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara VS RB do Norte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara

(Home)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
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RB do Norte

(Away)
15 Aug
RB do Norte
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
13 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
0 : 1
RB do Norte
07 Aug
RB do Norte
3 : 1
Cliper
01 Aug
RB do Norte
1 : 1
Fast Clube
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo AM 3 3 0 0 9:4 9
2 Unidos do Alvorada 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Librade 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Sul America 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliper 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 RB do Norte 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Itacoatiara 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2023 (Play Offs)