Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itacoatiara W vs Ceara W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
40' Event
Leidiane
67' Event
Bruninha

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Itacoatiara W and Ceara W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Itacoatiara W
15%
Draws
64%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ceara W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ceara W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ceara W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Ceara W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.7
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Ceara W
1:2
Aug 13, 2022 Brasileiro A2 Women
Ceara W vs Itacoatiara W
4:1
Aug 6, 2022 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Ceara W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ceara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidiane
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
Ceara W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ceara W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Itacoatiara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Ceara W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Ceara W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)