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Itacoatiara W vs Minas Brasilia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Manu
50' Event
Alves S.
89' Event
Rafa Barros

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Itacoatiara W and Minas Brasilia W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minas Brasilia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Itacoatiara W
30%
Draws
62%
Minas Brasilia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Itacoatiara W haven't matched Minas Brasilia W's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Minas Brasilia W taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Minas Brasilia W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 3
Goals Scored 1.4 3.07
Goals Conceded 3.23 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Minas Brasilia W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Minas Brasilia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Manu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafa Barros
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
Minas Brasilia W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Minas Brasilia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Minas Brasilia W conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Itacoatiara W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Minas Brasilia W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
6.33 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

Minas Brasilia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cresspom W
1 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
26 Sept
Minas Brasilia W
6 : 0
Ceilandia W
19 Sept
Legiao W
0 : 18
Minas Brasilia W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)