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Itacoatiara W vs Penarol W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2025
Itacoatiara W Logo

Itacoatiara W

1 - 3
FT
Penarol W Logo

Penarol W

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Goncalves L.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Santos F.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Santos F.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense Women 2025 game between Itacoatiara W and Penarol W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Itacoatiara W
20%
Draws
64%
Penarol W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penarol W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Penarol W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Penarol W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itacoatiara W Penarol W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.4 2.73
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Amazonense Women
Itacoatiara W vs Penarol W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
Penarol W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itacoatiara W Penarol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penarol W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Itacoatiara W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Penarol W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Penarol W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Itacoatiara W VS Penarol W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Itacoatiara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

Penarol W

(Away)
22 Aug
Penarol W
6 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
11 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
9 : 1
Penarol W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol W 5 5 0 0 24:1 15
2 Manaus W 5 3 1 1 22:4 10
3 Taruma W 5 2 2 1 15:13 8
4 Itacoatiara W 5 2 0 3 21:12 6
5 Amazonas Legis W 5 0 1 4 7:36 1
6 Manicore W 5 0 2 3 7:30 -2
Promotion - Amazonense Women 2025 (Play Offs)