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Italy U16 vs England U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadio Tre Fontane, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fustini K.
5' Event
Kavuma McQueen R.
20'
Cioffi C.

AI Match Summary

England U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Italy U16
15%
Draws
36%
England U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • England U16 have won more games recently than Italy U16.
  • Model gives Italy U16 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%
England U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U16 England U16
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
5:0
Aug 27, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
2:3
Apr 12, 2024 Friendly International
England U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
Aug 24, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
1:1
Aug 22, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs England U16
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fustini K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fugazzola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

England U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavuma McQueen R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wilkinson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 34 / 100
England U16 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U16 England U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U16 scored in 86% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

England U16 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Italy U16 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U16 VS England U16
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U16

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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England U16

(Away)
30 Oct
England U16
5 : 1
Wales U16
21 Apr
Vendee selection U17
1 : 3
England U16
19 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
England U16
17 Apr
England U16
0 : 3
Mexico U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
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