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Italy U16 W vs France U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U16 W play France U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U16 W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. France U16 W averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U16 W won 2, France U16 W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 27, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Italy U16 W and 1.38 for France U16 W. This points to a Italy U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Italy U16 W
15%
Draws
36%
France U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Italy U16 W picked up more points recently compared to France U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Italy U16 W Clean Sheet 17%
France U16 W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U16 W France U16 W
Matches Played 17 25
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U16 W vs France U16 W
0:0
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U16 W vs France U16 W
3:1
Mar 11, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U16 W vs Italy U16 W
3:1
Mar 9, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U16 W vs Italy U16 W
1:2
Mar 11, 2022 Friendly International Women
Italy U16 W vs France U16 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

France U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U16 W 48 / 100
France U16 W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U16 W France U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U16 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U16 W attacking → ← attacking France U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U16 W scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

France U16 W let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Italy U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

France U16 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 30
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00