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Italy U17 vs Iceland U17

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Blini O.
11' Event
Damiano V.
33' Event
Michieletto A.

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Italy U17
20%
Draws
36%
Iceland U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Iceland U17 haven't matched Italy U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Italy U17's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Italy U17 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Iceland U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 Iceland U17
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 23 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Euro U17
Iceland U17 vs Italy U17
0:4
Aug 13, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Iceland U17
4:3
Mar 13, 2018 Euro U17
Iceland U17 vs Italy U17
0:1
Oct 20, 2014 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Iceland U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Blini O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damiano V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Iceland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristjansson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saevarsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 57 / 100
Iceland U17 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 Iceland U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Italy U17 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Iceland U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS Iceland U17
1.63 Goals Scored 1.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
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Iceland U17

(Away)
26 Sept
Iceland U17
3 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina U17
23 Sept
Iceland U17
4 : 0
Gibraltar U17
31 Mar
Portugal U17
1 : 2
Iceland U17
28 Mar
Iceland U17
0 : 4
Italy U17
25 Mar
Iceland U17
2 : 5
Romania U17
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