Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs Spain U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Thu, Jun 4, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bonifazi G.
29' Event
Imga C.
Penalty Missed
42' Event
Croci F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 in this Euro U17 2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Italy U17
20%
Draws
36%
Spain U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 have won more games recently than Spain U17.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Italy U17 taking it.
  • Italy U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U17, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Spain U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 Spain U17
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 26 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.16 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U17 vs Italy U17
3:0
Jan 20, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U17 vs Italy U17
2:0
Jan 23, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
1:2
Jan 21, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Spain U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spain U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrestarazu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 35 / 100
Spain U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 Spain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U17 scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Italy U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Spain U17 let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS Spain U17
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
01 Jun
Denmark U17
3 : 3
Italy U17
Page 1 of 8

Spain U17

(Away)
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Belgium U17
0 : 1
Spain U17
25 May
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Belgium U17 2
France U17 1
Italy U17 2
Spain U17 1
Final
Belgium U17 1
Italy U17 2