Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs Ukraine U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2025 Stadion Lučko, Lučko
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bovio L.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Melnyk M. In: Muradyan A.
Out: Melnyk M.
46'
Sub
Steffanoni F. In: Campaniello T.
Out: Steffanoni F.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2025 game between Italy U17 and Ukraine U17 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Italy U17
30%
Draws
19%
Ukraine U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Italy U17 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Italy U17 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 Ukraine U17
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 22 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.23 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Ukraine U17
2:1
Mar 13, 2023 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
0:3
Apr 26, 2022 Euro U17
Ukraine U17 vs Italy U17
1:3
Mar 21, 2015 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Ukraine U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mambuku J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elimoghale D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Ukraine U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 85 / 100
Ukraine U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 Ukraine U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Italy U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ukraine U17 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS Ukraine U17
2.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
01 Jun
Denmark U17
3 : 3
Italy U17
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine U17

(Away)
09 Jun
Albania U17
0 : 4
Ukraine U17
06 Jun
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Latvia U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
21 Apr
Spain U17
4 : 0
Ukraine U17
16 Feb
Croatia U17
0 : 0
Ukraine U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Ukraine U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Slovakia U17 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Austria U17 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
3 Spain U17 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Norway U17 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Finland U17 3 1 0 2 6:9 3
3 Greece U17 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Denmark U17 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U17 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Serbia U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Hungary U17 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Netherlands U17 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U17 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Switzerland U17 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Sweden U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Turkey U17 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Ireland U17 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Poland U17 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Iceland U17 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Slovenia U17 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Israel U17 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Northern Ireland U17 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Main)