Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs Wales U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2025 Campo sportivo di Fonte dell'Ovo, San Marino
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Cisse P. K.
13' Event
Blini O.
Assist: Campaniello T.
14'
Gardner L.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2025 game between Italy U17 and Wales U17 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Italy U17
35%
Draws
23%
Wales U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Wales U17 haven't matched Italy U17's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Wales U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 Wales U17
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 25 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.29 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2024 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Wales U17
4:0
Mar 28, 2020 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Wales U17
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Blini O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damiano V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Wales U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 32 / 100
Wales U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 Wales U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

Solid form: Italy U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Wales U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 VS Wales U17
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17

(Home)
06 Oct
Croatia U17
0 : 1
Italy U17
02 Oct
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Italy U17
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
Page 1 of 7

Wales U17

(Away)
16 Apr
Georgia U17
2 : 2
Wales U17
13 Apr
Wales U17
0 : 1
San Marino U17
10 Apr
Wales U17
0 : 0
Andorra U17
18 Nov
Liechtenstein U17
0 : 11
Wales U17
15 Nov
Portugal U17
1 : 1
Wales U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Sweden U17 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Latvia U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Malta U17 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 3 2 1 0 13:2 7
2 Slovenia U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Georgia U17 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Armenia U17 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U17 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Netherlands U17 3 2 0 1 12:3 6
3 Albania U17 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
4 Faroe Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Ukraine U17 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Kosovo U17 3 0 1 2 7:10 1
4 Kazakhstan U17 3 0 1 2 5:10 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U17 3 3 0 0 19:3 9
2 Finland U17 3 1 1 1 11:7 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Liechtenstein U17 3 0 0 3 0:24 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece U17 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Hungary U17 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Romania U17 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
4 Azerbaijan U17 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U17 3 2 1 0 14:3 7
2 Germany U17 3 2 1 0 15:5 7
3 Belarus U17 3 1 0 2 5:12 3
4 Andorra U17 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland U17 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Ireland U17 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
3 Lithuania U17 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Scotland U17 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Norway U17 3 2 0 1 7:10 6
3 Wales U17 3 1 0 2 9:8 3
4 San Marino U17 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Israel U17 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Montenegro U17 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Moldova U17 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Slovakia U17 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Cyprus U17 3 1 0 2 8:5 3
4 Gibraltar U17 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Iceland U17 3 2 1 0 9:4 7
3 North Macedonia U17 3 1 0 2 5:11 3
4 Estonia U17 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U17 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Turkey U17 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Bulgaria U17 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Denmark U17 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Luxembourg U17 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League A)
Promotion - Euro U17 2025 (Round 2 - League B)