Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 W vs Croatia U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bubica G.
42'
Djesse B.
46'
Sub
Djesse B. In: Martone B.
Out: Djesse B.

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Italy U17 W
33%
Draws
27%
Croatia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Italy U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U17 W have won more games recently than Croatia U17 W.
  • Italy U17 W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Croatia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 W Croatia U17 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Croatia U17 W vs Italy U17 W
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Croatia U17 W
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Croatia U17 W
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Croatia U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferranti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciurleo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Croatia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bubica G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 W 40 / 100
Croatia U17 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 W Croatia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U17 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Croatia U17 W has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 W VS Croatia U17 W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17 W

(Home)
19 Mar
Italy U17 W
2 : 3
England U17 W
16 Mar
Italy U17 W
3 : 0
Turkey U17 W
13 Mar
Croatia U17 W
2 : 1
Italy U17 W
19 Feb
Italy U17 W
1 : 1
Switzerland U17 W
17 Feb
Italy U17 W
1 : 1
Switzerland U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Croatia U17 W

(Away)
19 Mar
Turkey U17 W
2 : 2
Croatia U17 W
16 Mar
England U17 W
1 : 0
Croatia U17 W
13 Mar
Croatia U17 W
2 : 1
Italy U17 W
29 Oct
North Macedonia U17 W
0 : 1
Croatia U17 W
26 Oct
Italy U17 W
2 : 1
Croatia U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W330010:19
2Portugal U17 W32015:26
3Hungary U17 W31026:33
4Bulgaria U17 W30031:160
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U17 W33006:19
2Germany U17 W32014:26
3Ireland U17 W31024:43
4Belgium U17 W30032:90
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U17 W321010:07
2Czech Republic U17 W32105:07
3Slovakia U17 W31023:83
4Andorra U17 W30030:100
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U17 W330011:39
2Poland U17 W320116:36
3Scotland U17 W30121:81
4Montenegro U17 W30120:141
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Finland U17 W330015:29
2Italy U17 W32015:46
3Croatia U17 W31023:53
4North Macedonia U17 W30030:120
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland U17 W32104:27
2Austria U17 W31205:15
3Romania U17 W30212:32
4Ukraine U17 W30121:61
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U17 W330011:09
2Norway U17 W31117:54
3Serbia U17 W30214:72
4Belarus U17 W30122:121
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)