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Italy U17 W vs North Macedonia U17 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bedini B.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Giudici R.
79' Event
Gianfico M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 W in this Friendly International Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
North Macedonia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U17 W lately — more wins on the board than North Macedonia U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Italy U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U17 W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
North Macedonia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 W North Macedonia U17 W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs North Macedonia U17 W
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U17 W vs North Macedonia U17 W
3:0
Sep 30, 2015 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs North Macedonia U17 W
4:0
Jul 2, 2013 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs North Macedonia U17 W
6:0
Oct 10, 2011 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs North Macedonia U17 W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giudici R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

North Macedonia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 W 85 / 100
North Macedonia U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 W North Macedonia U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

North Macedonia U17 W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Italy U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 W VS North Macedonia U17 W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%