Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 W vs Serbia U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Petruzziello C.
36'
Jovicic J.
51'
Jovicic J.

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Serbia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Serbia U17 W.
  • Model gives Italy U17 W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Italy U17 W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 19%
Serbia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 W Serbia U17 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Serbia U17 W
1:0
Mar 26, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Serbia U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:3
Apr 13, 2010 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Serbia U17 W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Serbia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 W 85 / 100
Serbia U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 W Serbia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Serbia U17 W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Italy U17 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 W VS Serbia U17 W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17 W

(Home)
19 Mar
Italy U17 W
2 : 3
England U17 W
16 Mar
Italy U17 W
3 : 0
Turkey U17 W
13 Mar
Croatia U17 W
2 : 1
Italy U17 W
19 Feb
Italy U17 W
1 : 1
Switzerland U17 W
17 Feb
Italy U17 W
1 : 1
Switzerland U17 W
Page 1 of 7

Serbia U17 W

(Away)
20 Mar
Iceland U17 W
5 : 0
Serbia U17 W
17 Mar
France U17 W
1 : 2
Serbia U17 W
14 Mar
Serbia U17 W
1 : 2
Austria U17 W
28 Oct
Belarus U17 W
2 : 2
Serbia U17 W
25 Oct
Norway U17 W
2 : 2
Serbia U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U17 W32108:17
2Germany U17 W31113:24
3Czech Republic U17 W30301:13
4Slovakia U17 W30121:91
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U17 W33005:19
2Finland U17 W32018:46
3Iceland U17 W31025:33
4Kosovo U17 W30030:100
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U17 W32015:46
2Austria U17 W32017:36
3Croatia U17 W31021:33
4Hungary U17 W31022:53
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U17 W32104:27
2Switzerland U17 W32015:36
3Wales U17 W30213:52
4Sweden U17 W30121:31
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W330014:19
2Netherlands U17 W320111:46
3Turkey U17 W31022:153
4Ukraine U17 W30030:70
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U17 W33008:19
2Italy U17 W32015:36
3Greece U17 W31022:63
4Serbia U17 W30031:60
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U17 W330017:19
2Scotland U17 W32019:56
3Denmark U17 W31023:43
4North Macedonia U17 W30030:190
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Round 1 - League B)