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Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2025 Tórsvøllur, Torshavn
Italy U17 W Logo

Italy U17 W

2 - 1
FT
Spain U17 W Logo

Spain U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Galli G.
Assist: Romanelli M.
46'
Sub
Bedini B. In: Copelli A.
Out: Bedini B.
63'
Sub
Alabart M. In: Barrios C.
Out: Alabart M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Italy U17 W
20%
Draws
40%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Spain U17 W have won more games recently than Italy U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Spain U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.86 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W
2:1
May 9, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:0
May 10, 2016 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Italy U17 W
3:1
Apr 1, 2014 World Cup Women U17
Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:2
Apr 11, 2011 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Italy U17 W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristobal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 W 10 / 100
Spain U17 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 W Spain U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U17 W scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Italy U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Spain U17 W conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 W VS Spain U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 3.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U17 W

(Home)
07 Oct
Italy U17 W
1 : 3
Austria U17 W
17 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 2
Hungary U17 W
15 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 1
Hungary U17 W
19 Mar
Italy U17 W
2 : 3
England U17 W
16 Mar
Italy U17 W
3 : 0
Turkey U17 W
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Spain U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U17 W 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Norway U17 W 3 1 1 1 10:2 4
3 Austria U17 W 3 1 1 1 10:4 4
4 Faroe Islands U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:28 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 France U17 W 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Spain U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Poland U17 W 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)