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Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2025 Tórsvøllur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 W play Spain U17 W in the Euro U17 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U17 W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Spain U17 W averaged 3.63 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U17 W won 1, Spain U17 W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Italy U17 W and 2.38 for Spain U17 W. This points to a Spain U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Italy U17 W
6%
Draws
90%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spain U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Italy U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Spain U17 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Euro U17 Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.63 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W
2:1
May 9, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:0
May 10, 2016 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Italy U17 W
3:1
Apr 1, 2014 World Cup Women U17
Italy U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:2
Apr 11, 2011 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Italy U17 W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galli G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristobal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 W 10 / 100
Spain U17 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 W Spain U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Spain U17 W let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Italy U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spain U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U17 W VS Spain U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 3.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U17 W330015:19
2Norway U17 W311110:24
3Austria U17 W311110:44
4Faroe Islands U17 W30030:280
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U17 W32107:57
2France U17 W31205:35
3Spain U17 W31115:44
4Poland U17 W30035:100