Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U19 vs Moldova U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ciardi A.
13' Event
Mosconi M.
16' Event
Coletta F.

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 in this Euro U19 2026 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Italy U19
20%
Draws
40%
Moldova U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U19 lately — more wins on the board than Moldova U19.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Italy U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Italy U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Moldova U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Moldova U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Moldova U19
8:0
Oct 4, 2017 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Moldova U19
4:0
Oct 4, 2008 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Moldova U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciardi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosconi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Moldova U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 42 / 100
Moldova U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Moldova U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Italy U19 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Moldova U19 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Italy U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 VS Moldova U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U19

(Home)
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
Page 1 of 7

Moldova U19

(Away)
31 Mar
Moldova U19
1 : 1
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 2
Moldova U19
25 Mar
Netherlands U19
1 : 0
Moldova U19
18 Nov
Moldova U19
1 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
15 Nov
Poland U19
2 : 1
Moldova U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Cyprus U19 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U19 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Greece U19 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Israel U19 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Luxembourg U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Slovakia U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Montenegro U19 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Serbia U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Georgia U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Finland U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Iceland U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 4:10 4
3 Lithuania U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Scotland U19 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Poland U19 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Moldova U19 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
2 Sweden U19 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 North Macedonia U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Estonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Norway U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 1 0 12:3 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 2 0 1 2:4 6
3 Azerbaijan U19 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Malta U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams